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日本代购-アタリ文明論講義 未来は予測できるか / 原タイトル:PEUT-ON PREVOIR L’AVENIR?[本/雑誌] (ちくま学芸文庫) / ジャック・アタリ/著 林昌宏/訳
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日本代购-ご注文前に必ずご確認ください<商品説明>予言・予知・占い...古来、権力者は未来を知ることに取り憑かれてきた。それを迷信と嘲笑うことはできない。あらゆる個人、国家、文明の浮沈はつねに先を読む力に左右されてきたのだ。だが、ますます混迷を深める現代文明でいかにして予測は可能なのか。われわれは未曾有の事態にどう立ち向かえばよいのか—。『21世紀の歴史』『国家債務危機』など数々の著書で予測を的中させ「EUの予言者」と称される経済学者が自身の未来予測の手法を開示、文明の行方を読み解く特別講義。文庫オリジナル!<収録内容>第1章 天の予言、神々の権力(民衆の未来を語る未来の全体像を解読する未来のエッセンスを暴き出すなぜこれらの予言テクニックをいまだに信じるのか)第2章 時間を操る、人間の力(予言から逃れる—自由と恩寵天気予報高まる時間の価値—思索と予想“歴史”の意義—長い時間予測術を身につけるための四つのメソード)第3章 偶然を制御する、マシンの威力(モデル—シミュレーション、予測、予言偶然性に回帰する予言する独裁者)第4章 私の未来予測(自分自身の未来を予測する身近な人や見ず知らずの他人の未来を予測する企業の未来を予測する国の未来を予測する人類の未来を予測する)<商品詳細>商品番号:NEOBK-1998579Jack Atari / Cho Hayashi Masahiro / Yaku / Atari Fumiaki Ron Kogi Mirai Ha Yosoku Dekiru Ka / Hara Title : PEUT-ON PREVOIR L’AVENIR? (Chiku Ma Gakugei Bunko)メディア:本/雑誌重量:150g発売日:2016/09JAN:9784480097514アタリ文明論講義 未来は予測できるか / 原タイトル:PEUT-ON PREVOIR L’AVENIR?[本/雑誌] (ちくま学芸文庫) / ジャック・アタリ/著 林昌宏/訳2016/09発売
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Process: 0.203s ( Load:0.007s Init:0.009s Exec:0.183s Template:0.004s ) | DB :23 queries 0 writes | Cache :5 gets 2 writes | UseMem:26,616 kb
页面Trace信息
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请求方法 : GET
通信协议 : HTTP/1.1
请求时间 : 2025-07-26 23:36:29
用户代理 : Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)
会话ID : 15a5dd526884f5fdbb2cd
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输出编码 :
加载类库 : 33
模板编译 : 重新编译
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[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] RunTime:0.000714s SQL = SHOW COLUMNS FROM bio_yahooid
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] RunTime:0.001169s SQL = SHOW COLUMNS FROM bio_agent
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] RunTime:0.000318s SQL = SELECT * FROM bio_agent WHERE ( `isViews` = 1 ) AND ( `domain` LIKE '%test.ripai.com' )
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] RunTime:0.000245s SQL = SELECT * FROM bio_agent WHERE ( `domain` = 'www.jp-daigou.com' )
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] RunTime:0.000332s SQL = select * from bio_siteparams where FIND_IN_SET('081',AgentID)
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] RunTime:0.000439s SQL = SHOW COLUMNS FROM bio_point
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] RunTime:0.001416s SQL = SHOW COLUMNS FROM bio_user
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] RunTime:0.000816s SQL = SELECT * FROM bio_goods WHERE `isView` = 1 and gType<=3 ORDER BY created DESC LIMIT 15
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] RunTime:0.000443s SQL = SHOW COLUMNS FROM bio_syscolumn
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] RunTime:0.000347s SQL = SELECT * FROM bio_syscolumn WHERE ( `column_leftid` = 17 ) AND ( `column_open` = 1 ) ORDER BY column_order asc
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] RunTime:0.000401s SQL = SELECT * FROM bio_syscolumn WHERE ( `column_leftid` = '19' ) AND ( `column_open` = 1 ) ORDER BY column_order asc
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] RunTime:0.000294s SQL = SELECT * FROM bio_syscolumn WHERE ( `column_leftid` = '89' ) AND ( `column_open` = 1 ) ORDER BY column_order asc
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] RunTime:0.000357s SQL = SELECT * FROM bio_syscolumn WHERE ( `column_leftid` = '20' ) AND ( `column_open` = 1 ) ORDER BY column_order asc
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] RunTime:0.000346s SQL = SELECT * FROM bio_syscolumn WHERE ( `column_leftid` = '18' ) AND ( `column_open` = 1 ) ORDER BY column_order asc
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] RunTime:0.000495s SQL = SHOW COLUMNS FROM bio_rakutencategory
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] RunTime:0.000248s SQL = SELECT * FROM bio_rakutencategory WHERE id=209028
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] RunTime:0.000202s SQL = SELECT p.id,p.name_cn FROM bio_rakutencategory p LEFT JOIN bio_rakutencategory c on c.parentid=p.id WHERE c.id=209028
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] RunTime:0.000166s SQL = SELECT p.id,p.name_cn FROM bio_rakutencategory p LEFT JOIN bio_rakutencategory c on c.parentid=p.id WHERE c.id=209023
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] RunTime:0.000162s SQL = SELECT p.id,p.name_cn FROM bio_rakutencategory p LEFT JOIN bio_rakutencategory c on c.parentid=p.id WHERE c.id=101278
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] RunTime:0.000153s SQL = SELECT p.id,p.name_cn FROM bio_rakutencategory p LEFT JOIN bio_rakutencategory c on c.parentid=p.id WHERE c.id=200162
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] RunTime:0.000144s SQL = SELECT * FROM bio_rakutencategory WHERE parentid=209028
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] RunTime:0.000305s SQL = SHOW COLUMNS FROM bio_rate
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] RunTime:0.000163s SQL = SELECT * FROM bio_rate WHERE ( `type` = 'RMB->JPY' ) ORDER BY date desc LIMIT 1
错误记录 : 96条错误
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] A session had already been started - ignoring session_start() App.class.php 第 115 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8192] Assigning the return value of new by reference is deprecated apiExecuter.php 第 253 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8192] Assigning the return value of new by reference is deprecated apiExecuter.php 第 284 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8192] Assigning the return value of new by reference is deprecated getApiData.php 第 125 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8192] Assigning the return value of new by reference is deprecated getApiData.php 第 134 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8192] Assigning the return value of new by reference is deprecated getApiData.php 第 499 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8192] Assigning the return value of new by reference is deprecated Request.php 第 412 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8192] Assigning the return value of new by reference is deprecated Request.php 第 736 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8192] Assigning the return value of new by reference is deprecated Request.php 第 749 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8192] Assigning the return value of new by reference is deprecated Request.php 第 794 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[2048] Redefining already defined constructor for class Net_URL URL.php 第 122 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8192] Assigning the return value of new by reference is deprecated Unserializer.php 第 691 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8192] Assigning the return value of new by reference is deprecated Unserializer.php 第 693 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8192] Assigning the return value of new by reference is deprecated Unserializer.php 第 852 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[2048] Redefining already defined constructor for class XML_Parser Parser.php 第 206 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8192] Assigning the return value of new by reference is deprecated Parser.php 第 576 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[2048] Declaration of XML_Parser::raiseError() should be compatible with that of PEAR::raiseError() Parser.php 第 634 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined index: openid BaseAction.class.php 第 72 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined index: Debug BaseAction.class.php 第 174 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined index: uid BaseAction.class.php 第 209 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8192] Assigning the return value of new by reference is deprecated Client.php 第 179 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8192] Assigning the return value of new by reference is deprecated Client.php 第 228 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined variable: type_ BaseAction.class.php 第 649 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined variable: type_ BaseAction.class.php 第 649 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined offset: 11 BaseAction.class.php 第 349 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined variable: type_ BaseAction.class.php 第 649 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined variable: agentId common_inc.php 第 3135 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined index: isDebugMe forbidcates.php 第 108 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[2] shuffle() expects parameter 1 to be array, boolean given BaseAction.class.php 第 418 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined property: RakutenApiExecuter::$ApiDataWorker RakutenApiExecuter.php 第 346 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined index: appid getApiData.php 第 417 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined index: isDebugMe getApiData.php 第 436 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined index: isDebugMe getApiData.php 第 447 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined index: isDebugYourMa getApiData.php 第 450 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined index: isDebugMe getApiData.php 第 468 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined index: isDebugMe getApiData.php 第 481 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined variable: options Unserializer.php 第 448 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[2048] Non-static method PEAR::isError() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context getApiData.php 第 503 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[2048] Non-static method PEAR::isError() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context getApiData.php 第 509 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[2048] Non-static method PEAR::isError() should not be called statically, assuming $this from incompatible context RakutenAction.class.php 第 595 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined index: isDebugMe RakutenAction.class.php 第 607 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined index: categoryPath RakutenCategoryGetter.class.php 第 55 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined index: _imgserver YahooAction.class.php 第 1014 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined index: _imgserver YahooAction.class.php 第 1014 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined index: descpre RakutenAction.class.php 第 645 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined variable: type_ BaseAction.class.php 第 649 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined variable: agentId common_inc.php 第 3135 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined index: isDebugMe forbidcates.php 第 108 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined variable: type_ BaseAction.class.php 第 649 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined variable: showmiddleOfIndex bf17f8f5a76a9d7e9186c4c573d8f8fc.php 第 2 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined variable: meta_keyword 7e3578d85670e1bc8aad2b48d2c6a90d.php 第 7 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined variable: Act 7e3578d85670e1bc8aad2b48d2c6a90d.php 第 42 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined variable: U 7e3578d85670e1bc8aad2b48d2c6a90d.php 第 59 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined variable: Act 7e3578d85670e1bc8aad2b48d2c6a90d.php 第 97 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined variable: Act 7e3578d85670e1bc8aad2b48d2c6a90d.php 第 121 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined index: keyword 7e3578d85670e1bc8aad2b48d2c6a90d.php 第 134 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined variable: Act 7e3578d85670e1bc8aad2b48d2c6a90d.php 第 150 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined variable: Act 7e3578d85670e1bc8aad2b48d2c6a90d.php 第 201 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined index: category 7e3578d85670e1bc8aad2b48d2c6a90d.php 第 278 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined variable: so 7e3578d85670e1bc8aad2b48d2c6a90d.php 第 280 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined variable: dr 7e3578d85670e1bc8aad2b48d2c6a90d.php 第 281 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined variable: keyword 7e3578d85670e1bc8aad2b48d2c6a90d.php 第 286 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined variable: shopcode 7e3578d85670e1bc8aad2b48d2c6a90d.php 第 296 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined index: minPrice 7e3578d85670e1bc8aad2b48d2c6a90d.php 第 300 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined index: maxPrice 7e3578d85670e1bc8aad2b48d2c6a90d.php 第 301 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined variable: Act 7e3578d85670e1bc8aad2b48d2c6a90d.php 第 453 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined index: category 7e3578d85670e1bc8aad2b48d2c6a90d.php 第 454 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined variable: so 7e3578d85670e1bc8aad2b48d2c6a90d.php 第 456 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined variable: dr 7e3578d85670e1bc8aad2b48d2c6a90d.php 第 457 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined variable: keyword 7e3578d85670e1bc8aad2b48d2c6a90d.php 第 462 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined variable: Act 7e3578d85670e1bc8aad2b48d2c6a90d.php 第 463 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined variable: Act 7e3578d85670e1bc8aad2b48d2c6a90d.php 第 464 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined index: sellerID 7e3578d85670e1bc8aad2b48d2c6a90d.php 第 476 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined index: store 7e3578d85670e1bc8aad2b48d2c6a90d.php 第 486 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined index: store 7e3578d85670e1bc8aad2b48d2c6a90d.php 第 489 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined index: store 7e3578d85670e1bc8aad2b48d2c6a90d.php 第 492 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined index: item_status 7e3578d85670e1bc8aad2b48d2c6a90d.php 第 503 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined index: item_status 7e3578d85670e1bc8aad2b48d2c6a90d.php 第 506 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined index: item_status 7e3578d85670e1bc8aad2b48d2c6a90d.php 第 509 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined index: wrappingicon 7e3578d85670e1bc8aad2b48d2c6a90d.php 第 520 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined index: buynow 7e3578d85670e1bc8aad2b48d2c6a90d.php 第 523 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined index: thumbnail 7e3578d85670e1bc8aad2b48d2c6a90d.php 第 525 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined variable: urlpre 7e3578d85670e1bc8aad2b48d2c6a90d.php 第 536 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined index: chkjp 7e3578d85670e1bc8aad2b48d2c6a90d.php 第 536 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined variable: urlpre 7e3578d85670e1bc8aad2b48d2c6a90d.php 第 536 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined index: chkjp 7e3578d85670e1bc8aad2b48d2c6a90d.php 第 536 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined variable: urlpre 7e3578d85670e1bc8aad2b48d2c6a90d.php 第 536 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined index: chkjp 7e3578d85670e1bc8aad2b48d2c6a90d.php 第 536 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined variable: urlpre 7e3578d85670e1bc8aad2b48d2c6a90d.php 第 536 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined index: chkjp 7e3578d85670e1bc8aad2b48d2c6a90d.php 第 536 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined variable: urlpre 7e3578d85670e1bc8aad2b48d2c6a90d.php 第 536 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined index: chkjp 7e3578d85670e1bc8aad2b48d2c6a90d.php 第 536 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined index: aucminprice 7e3578d85670e1bc8aad2b48d2c6a90d.php 第 537 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined index: aucmaxprice 7e3578d85670e1bc8aad2b48d2c6a90d.php 第 538 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined variable: isindex 7e3578d85670e1bc8aad2b48d2c6a90d.php 第 577 行.
[ 25-07-26 23:36:29 ] 注意:[8] Undefined variable: url 97ae39e43927d85ac9989230a15609a2.php 第 4 行.